Curaçao
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GermanyGER(10) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 6 | 100 |
| 2 | EcuadorECU(23) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 | 100 |
| 3 | Ivory CoastCIV(34) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CuraçaoCUW(82) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | 0 |
Curaçao must beat Ivory Coast — that is the only requirement. The result between Ecuador and Germany does not matter at all.
This is a lean probability at 42.9%, and finishing 4th (eliminated) is more likely at 57.1%. Curaçao is heavily dependent on getting the win because they start with a -7 goal difference and no points.
Curaçao is eliminated if they draw with Ivory Coast, or if they lose to Ivory Coast — the Ecuador vs Germany result does not matter.
Elimination is more likely than advancement to the best-third round (57% vs 43%), making this the probable outcome.
If Curaçao draws with Ivory Coast, they finish 4th regardless of whether Ecuador beats, draws, or loses to Germany. If Ivory Coast beats Curaçao, they are also eliminated no matter what happens in the other match.
Click on a scenario to apply it to the standings table above.
Follow Curaçao's journey in Group E of the FIFA World Cup 2026. See current standings, qualification probability, and all possible scenarios for advancing to the knockout stage.