Switzerland
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SwitzerlandSUI(19) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 73 |
| 2 | CanadaCAN(30) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 |
| 3 | Bosnia-HerzegovinaBIH(65) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
| 4 | QatarQAT(55) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 28 |
Switzerland can finish 2nd, but it is a long shot at 21.2% — far less likely than winning the group at 52.2%.
Switzerland must lose to Bosnia-Herzegovina, beat Bosnia-Herzegovina, or draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina. In all cases, Canada must beat Switzerland in the final match.
Switzerland can finish third (best-third dependent) only if they draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina. This path accounts for about 21% of all outcomes — roughly the same chance as finishing second (21.2%), but much less likely than winning the group (52.2%).
The core requirement is a draw in the first match. From there, Switzerland qualifies as best third in a wide range of scenarios depending on what happens between Canada, Qatar, and Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Switzerland must lose to Bosnia-Herzegovina and then lose to Canada to finish 4th and be eliminated.
This is a long shot at just 5.6% — far less likely than finishing 1st (52.2%), 2nd (21.2%), or even 3rd (20.9%).
For elimination to happen, Switzerland must lose both remaining matches. The results of Canada vs Qatar and Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Qatar do not change this outcome — Switzerland goes out regardless of what happens in those matches.
Click on a scenario to apply it to the standings table above.
Follow Switzerland's journey in Group B of the FIFA World Cup 2026. See current standings, qualification probability, and all possible scenarios for advancing to the knockout stage.